For 40 years Aberdeen has been the principal base for
the North Sea oil and gas industry. Indeed, it is now
one of the global centres of excellence and is
recognised as an upstream oil centre that ranks
second only to Houston in Texas.
But how long can we sustain that position?
There seems to be little enthusiasm for the oil and
gas industry in the UK. Despite the widely recognised
view that North Sea oil and gas saved the UK economy
in the 1970s – as
Andrew
Marr pointed out – it seems almost as if
there has been a long-running and extraordinary
drive to belittle its economic importance, Could
it be that Westminster did not want to fan the
fire of Scottish nationalism by admitting to the
economic significance of the oil and gas
offshore?
Will
the sun set prematurely on the UK oil and gas
era?
Even now we seem to be sleep-walking into a situation
where:
- Billions of barrels of oil (estimated to be
almost half the total already extracted in the past
40 years) may be left untouched.
- We rely on various regimes in the east to keep
our supply taps open (assuming we can afford to buy
their oil and gas).
When some 75% of the UK’s prime energy needs are
fed from the North Sea and 500,000 quality jobs in
the UK depend on the industry, that is surely a
prospect we must avoid at all costs.
Look at the other side of the North Sea for a very
different example of how the North Sea bonanza has
been handled.
- The Norwegian oil and gas sector is
buoyant.
- More and more of the major players in global
offshore oil and gas technology and services are
moving into Norwegian ownership.
- Norway is investing heavily in new oil and gas
facilities.
- The infrastructure of Norway’s oil capital,
Stavanger, puts the infrastructure in Aberdeen to
shame.
Not only is Norway seeing the benefit of an
enlightened immediate view, it has also ensured that
its oil industry will bring long-term economic
benefit.
Norway started an oil and gas fund in the early days
of the North Sea industry. The Norwegians estimate
that their oil fund will grow over the next ten years
from $430 billion to $850 billion.
By contrast, on this side of the North Sea we have no
such nest egg. Indeed, our national debt in November
2009 was a staggering £829.7 billion and on public
services we continue to spend £247 million per day
more than we earn.
It seems obvious that successive governments have
looked on North Sea oil as simply a short-term cash
cow to support their spending plans, with no thought
to building a long-term benefit.
Not only do we now have little to show for the what
Andrew Marr called the “epic” achievements of the oil
and gas industry, anyone looking over to the other
side of the North Sea can see that Stavanger is
overtaking Aberdeen and the United Kingdom.
Are their sights set on taking Aberdeen’s crown as
Europe’s energy capital?
© Ken McEwen Public Relations, 2009.
www.kenmcewen.com All rights reserved.
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